18 Oct NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500
The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 quick 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races in this track and is the 9-4 preferred to collect another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix chances after a solid start to his period that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, be sure to look at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.
Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.
It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it’s off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events at venues like ISM Raceway are in his bloodstream. His model has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you that the version is high on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot 25-1 NASCAR odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a payday.
Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win and proceeded to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to a 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has revealed remarkable speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.
Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and closed out a year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He’ll also come equipped to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar vehicle setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.
Among the shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix picks from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the top Vegas favourite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning it all.
Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the package consistently at this track. In fact, He’s finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway
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